TIN TỨC
- Giá cà phê Arabica trên sàn ICE US – New York kết thúc chuỗi tăng. Kỳ hạn giao ngay tháng 9 giảm 3,80 cent, xuống 182,75 cent/lb và kỳ hạn giao tháng 12 giảm 3,85 cent, còn 185,75 cent/lb, các mức giảm khá mạnh. Khối lượng giao dịch duy trì rất cao trên mức trung bình.
- Giá cà phê Robusta trên sàn ICE Europe – London tiếp tục sụt giảm. Kỳ hạn giao ngay tháng 9 giảm thêm 21 USD, xuống 1.828 USD/tấn và kỳ hạn giao tháng 11 giảm thêm 18 USD, còn 1.836 USD/tấn, các mức giảm đáng kể. Khối lượng giao dịch ở mức trung bình.
Cập nhật giá cà phê thế giới ngày 16/08/2021
- Cà phê Arabica tháng 9 vào thứ Sáu đóng cửa giảm -3,80 (-2,04%) và cà phê Robusta ICE tháng 9 đóng cửa giảm -21 (-1,14%).
- Nguồn vốn đầu tư đổ vào thị trường chứng khoán tăng mạnh, ảnh hưởng tới nguồn vốn hướng vào thị trường cà phê, khiến giá mặt hàng này giảm trong thời gian qua.
- Trong ngắn hạn, thời tiết Brazil được dự báo sẽ thuận lợi trong tuần tới, góp phần hỗ trợ cây cà phê hồi phục sau thu hoạch để có sức ra hoa vụ mới.
- Cục Xuất nhập khẩu (Bộ Công Thương) vừa đưa ra nhận định, 2 tuần đầu tháng 8/2021, giá cà phê thế giới giảm mạnh do nhu cầu tiêu thụ chậm lại. Ngành công nghiệp cà phê rang xay phục vụ nhà hàng, quán ăn, quán cà phê chậm lại khiến nhu cầu tiêu thụ nguyên liệu giảm, trong khi nguồn cung từ Brazil tăng do đồng Real suy yếu, khiến người trồng cà phê tại nhà xuất khẩu số 1 thế giới đẩy mạnh bán ra.
- Nguồn vốn đầu tư vào thị trường chứng khoán Mỹ tăng mạnh cũng khiến giá cà phê giảm. Những ngày đầu tháng 8/2021, giá cà phê trong nước giảm theo giá thế giới. Bên cạnh đó, diễn biến phức tạp của làn sóng Covid-19 lần thứ 4 ảnh hưởng tiêu cực đến hoạt động giao thương mặt hàng.
- Bộ Công Thương đưa ra nhận định, triển vọng giá cà phê toàn cầu tương đối khả quan trong thời gian tới. Trong báo cáo mới nhất, Bộ Nông nghiệp Hoa Kỳ (USDA) dự báo sản lượng cà phê thế giới niên vụ 2021/2022 sẽ giảm 11 triệu bao so với niên vụ 2020/2021, xuống 164,8 triệu bao, do yếu tố thời tiết không thuận lợi tại Brazil.
- USDA dự báo xuất khẩu cà phê toàn cầu giảm 4,8 triệu bao xuống 115,5 triệu bao, do lượng xuất khẩu của Brazil giảm mạnh, mặc dù xuất khẩu của Việt Nam dự báo tăng.
- Đồng Reais tăng nhẹ 0,19 %, tỷ giá lên ở mức 1 USD = 5,2460 Reais do lo ngại bất ổn chính trị và rủi ro tài chính của nhà đầu tư vốn ngoại khi cuộc bỏ phiếu của Quốc hội Brasil về cải cách thuế tiếp tục bị trì hoãn. Trong khi tài sản trú ẩn tiếp tục lên ngôi do lo ngại nền kinh tế thế giới sẽ hồi phục chậm lại vì covid-19 biến chủng mới gia tăng khắp nơi.
- Xuất khẩu cà phê Arabica của Việt Nam trong tháng 6/2021 cũng đạt mức thấp nhất kể từ đầu năm nay, đạt 4,1 nghìn tấn, trị giá 11,82 triệu USD, giảm 55,8% về lượng và giảm 41,2% về trị giá so với tháng 6/2020.
Cập nhật giá cà phê trong nước ngày 16/08/2021
- Tại huyện Di Linh, Lâm Hà, Bảo Lộc (Lâm Đồng) giá cà phê hôm nay được thu mua với mức 36.500 đồng/kg.
- Tại huyện Cư M’gar (Đắk Lắk) giá cà phê hôm nay ở mức 37.400 đồng/kg. Tại huyện Ea H’leo (Đắk Lắk), Buôn Hồ (Đắk Lắk) giá cà phê hôm nay được thu mua cùng mức 37.300 đồng/kg.
- Tương tự tại tỉnh Đắk Nông, giá cà phê hôm nay thu mua ở mức 37.300 đồng/kg tại Gia Nghĩa và 37.200 đồng/kg ở Đắk R’lấp.
- Tại tỉnh Gia Lai, giá cà phê hôm nay ở mức 37.300 đồng/kg (Chư Prông), ở Pleiku và La Grai cùng giá 37.200 đồng/kg.
GÓC NHÌN KỸ THUẬT
- Giá cà phê đang nằm trong mô hình tam giác khả năng phiên này tiếp tục điều chỉnh, Nhà đầu tư canh về trend line dưới xem giá phản ứng thế nào nếu giá có thể bật lại thì tiếp tục canh mua vào. chặn lỗ dưới trendline 30 giá.
- Mục tiêu hướng tới 1900 – 2200 trong dài hạn.
Lưu ý:
– Mọi thông tin trên chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo, Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên xem xét kỹ lưỡng để đưa ra quyết định đầu tư cho riêng mình.
– Luôn ưu tiên quản trị vốn để tối thiểu hóa rủi ro và từ đó có thể kiếm lợi nhuận một cách bền vững từ thị trường.
– Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên tìm kiếm một đội tư vấn, phân tích, chăm sóc khách hàng chuyên nghiệp để từ đó có thể kiếm được lợi nhuận từ thị trường. Đừng ngừng ngại liên hệ cho chúng tôi – Công ty Cổ phần Giao dịch Hàng hóa Gia Cát Lợi qua thông tin bên dưới.
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