Phân Tích Dầu Ngày 16/06/2021: Xu Hướng Tăng Đang được hình thành

Tin tức thị trường

Giá xăng dầu thế giới

Theo Goldman Sachs, Ả Rập Xê Út dự kiến ​​sẽ tăng sản lượng dầu thô lên 10 triệu thùng / ngày vào cuối năm 2021, tăng 1,5 triệu thùng / ngày so với tháng 5 do nhu cầu dầu toàn cầu tăng cao.  Vào tháng 5, Ả Rập Xê-út đã bơm dưới 8,5 triệu thùng / ngày, sau khi tăng sản lượng lên 345.000 thùng / ngày so với tháng 4, theo thỏa thuận OPEC + để giảm dần việc cắt giảm của OPEC.

Nhu cầu toàn cầu phục hồi và nhu cầu dầu trong nước phục hồi mạnh mẽ cũng đã thúc đẩy Goldman nâng dự báo tăng trưởng kinh tế của Saudi Arabia. Ngân hàng đầu tư của Mỹ hiện nhận thấy nền kinh tế Ả Rập Xê Út tăng 4,5% vào năm 2021, so với dự báo trước đó là tăng trưởng 2,5%.

Sản lượng tại Ả Rập Xê Út dự kiến ​​sẽ tăng lên 9,5 triệu thùng / ngày vào cuối tháng Bảy. Sản lượng dầu dự kiến ​​đạt 10 triệu thùng / ngày vào cuối năm nay và 10,5 triệu thùng / ngày vào năm sau.

Nhu cầu sử dụng xăng ảnh minh họa

Để so sánh, Quỹ Tiền tệ Quốc tế (IMF) dự kiến ​​nền kinh tế Ả Rập Xê Út sẽ tăng trưởng 2,9% vào năm 2021. IMF cũng cho biết trong dự báo khu vực MENA mới nhất của họ vào tháng 4 rằng giá dầu cao hơn và sự phục hồi trong nền kinh tế toàn cầu và nhu cầu dầu được thiết lập để giảm giá dầu hòa vốn tài khóa của các nhà sản xuất dầu lớn ở Trung Đông, với giá dầu hòa vốn đối với Saudi Ả Rập Xê Út giảm xuống còn 65,70 đô la vào năm 2022 từ 77,90 đô la vào năm Trong khi đó, lĩnh vực phi dầu mỏ của Ả Rập Xê Út đã tăng 2,9% trong quý đầu tiên của năm 2021. Tuy nhiên, GDP tổng thể đã giảm 3,0% so với năm trước do ngành dầu mỏ giảm 11,7% trong quý 1 năm 2021.

Phân tích kỹ thuật

Phân tích Dầu thô biểu đồ nến

+ Giá đã chạm trendline trên và tạo 1 sự sut giảm giá khá ( Từ mức 72.8 về 72.2 ). Đây được xem là 1 phản ứng tốt của một vùng kháng cự

+ Theo phân tích sóng Elliot thì chúng ta đã hoàn thành sóng 5 và bắt đầu sóng hiệu chỉnh

=> Có thể nhận định xu hướng giảm sẽ hình thành tại đây

+ Vùng kháng cự 73.5

+ Vùng hỗ trợ 65 và 67

Khuyến nghị giao dịch

+ Sell tại vùng 72.73 ( giá market tại thị trường hiện tại ) hơn buy vì giá đã gần như hoàn thành xong con sóng 5 theo phân tích elliot.

+ Vùng sell 1 tại @72.73

+ Vùng stp tại @73.5

+ Vùng tp1 tại @67

+ Vùng tp2 tại @65

Lưu ý

– Mọi thông tin trên chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo, Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên xem xét kỹ lưỡng để đưa ra quyết định đầu tư cho riêng mình.

– Luôn ưu tiên quản trị vốn để tối thiểu hóa rủi ro và từ đó có thể kiếm lợi nhuận một cách bền vững từ thị trường.

– Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên tìm kiếm một đội tư vấn, phân tích, chăm sóc khách hàng chuyên nghiệp để từ đó có thể kiếm được lợi nhuận từ thị trường. Đừng ngừng ngại liên hệ cho chúng tôi – Công ty Cổ phần Giao dịch Hàng hóa Gia Cát Lợi qua thông tin bên dưới.


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