VÀNG

TIN TỨC

  • Vàng đảo chiều mạnh do đồng USD tăng giá dữ dội
  • Kết thúc phiên vừa qua, giá vàng giao ngay giảm 0,8% xuống 1.736,81 USD/ounce, trong phiên có lúc xuống chỉ 1.726,19 USD, thấp nhất kể từ ngày 11 tháng 8; vàng kỳ hạn tháng 12 giảm 0,8% xuống 1.737,5 USD/ounce.
  • Lợi suất trái phiếu kho bạc Mỹ kỳ hạn 10 năm đã tăng lên mức trên 1,5%, cao nhất trong vòng 3 tháng, trong khi USD cũng tăng  làm giảm sức hấp dẫn của kim loại quý, vì làm tăng chi phí cơ hội sở hữu tài sản không sinh lời như vàng, thị trường vàng bắt đầu lo ngại về việc Fed sớm siết chặt chính sách tiền tệ.
  • Trong khi giới đầu tư đang chờ đợi thêm thông tin từ các quan chức Cục Dự trữ Liên bang Mỹ (Fed) về việc thay đổi chính sách tiền tệ của ngân hàng trung ương
  • Lạm phát cao luôn có lợi cho vàng – vốn được coi như một hàng rào chống lại lạm phát. Tuy nhiên, USD và lợi suất trái phiếu tăng lại tác động tiêu cực lên giá vàng.
  • Nhà phân tích Carsten Fritsch của Ngân hàng Commerzbank cho biết, do tâm lý thị trường đang chịu nhiều tác động nên các nhà đầu tư “không mấy lạc quan về triển vọng giá vàng”.
  • Lượng vàng nắm giữ của quỹ tín thác bằng vàng SPDR Gold Trust GLD đã giảm 0,3% xuống 990,32 tấn trong ngày Hai, 27/9.
  • Chủ tịch Fed Jerome Powell hôm thứ Ba cho biết nền kinh tế Mỹ vẫn chưa đạt được số việc làm tối đa, một thành phần quan trọng trong các yêu cầu của ngân hàng trung ương về việc tăng lãi suất.
  • Chỉ số dollar index phiên này tăng 0,4%, khiến vàng trở nên đắt hơn đối với những người nắm giữ các loại tiền tệ khác.
  • Các nhà phân tích của Commerzbank cho biết: “Đồng USD tiếp tục tăng giá trong những ngày qua, điều này làm tăng thêm áp lực lên giá vàng.
  • Ngoài ra, các nhà đầu tư cũng chú ý đến những diễn biến xung quanh việc tập đoàn Trung Quốc Evergrande nợ nần chồng chất. Đây là một yếu tố có lợi cho vàng.

GÓC NHÌN KỸ THUẬT

  • Vàng phiên hôm qua tiếp tục duy trì đà giảm mạnh về vùng 1728, phe bán vẫn đang áp đảo.
  • Với việc đóng cửa bằng nến nhấn chìm giảm dưới vùng 1736 cho thấy áp lực giảm vẫn rất lớn, khả năng giá vàng sẽ tiếp tục tìm về vùng hỗ trợ quanh 1720.

BẠC 

TIN TỨC

  • Lợi tức kho bạc Mỹ đang tăng, cơ hội cho kim loại bạc.
  • Bạc tháng 12 (SIZ21) đóng cửa  thứ Ba 28 tháng 9 giảm -0,277 (-1,00%). Giá kim loại quý hôm thứ Ba đã chịu áp lực trong cả ngày, Bạc giảm xuống mức thấp nhất trong 1 tuần. Đồng đô la tăng vọt và lợi tức trái phiếu tăng vọt vào thứ Ba đã tác động lên giá kim loại . Chỉ số đô la tăng lên mức cao nhất 10 tháng rưỡi và lợi tức trái phiếu T kỳ hạn 10 năm tăng lên mức cao nhất 3 tháng hơn.
  • Tại phiên điều trần do Ủy ban Ngân hàng, Nhà ở và Đô thị Thượng viện Hoa Kỳ tổ chức hôm thứ Ba, Powell nói rằng vẫn còn một chặng đường dài phía trước để tối đa hóa việc làm. Fed gần như đã đáp ứng các điều kiện để giảm mua nợ, nhưng ngưỡng nâng lãi suất vẫn cao. Bộ trưởng Tài chính Hoa Kỳ Yellen nói rằng nếu Quốc hội không tăng trần nợ, sẽ có khủng hoảng tài chính và thảm họa. Trước đó, Đảng Cộng hòa đã phủ quyết các dự luật liên quan
  • Dữ liệu kinh tế Hoa Kỳ hôm thứ Ba chủ yếu là giảm giá đối với đồng đô la. Chỉ số niềm tin người tiêu dùng tháng 9 của Hội đồng Hội nghị Hoa Kỳ đã bất ngờ giảm -4,5 xuống mức thấp nhất trong 7 tháng là 109,3, yếu hơn so với kỳ vọng tăng lên 115,0. Ngoài ra, cuộc khảo sát sản xuất tháng 9 của Fed Richmond đã bất ngờ giảm -12 xuống mức thấp nhất trong 16 tháng là -3, yếu hơn kỳ vọng tăng lên 10. Ngược lại, chỉ số giá nhà S&P CoreLogic composite-20 tháng 7 tăng kỷ lục + 19,95% so với cùng kỳ (dữ liệu từ năm 2001) yếu hơn một chút so với kỳ vọng là + 20,00%.
  • Lợi tức kho bạc Mỹ vượt quá 1,5% và chỉ số đô la Mỹ tăng trở lại. Đây cũng là một yếu tố cho triển vọng kim loại Bạc.

GÓC NHÌN KỸ THUẬT

  • Bạc phiên hôm qua cũng chịu áp lực giảm như Vàng, tuy nhiên vùng giá 22 đang là vùng hỗ trợ khá tốt của Bạc, giúp giá không giảm quá sâu.
  • Trên đồ thị D có thể thấy giá liên tục bật tăng khi chạm vào vùng hỗ trợ 22.
  • Do đó khả năng Bạc có thể có nhịp phục hồi trong vài phiên tới lên vùng giá 23 và 23.5.

ĐỒNG

TIN TỨC

  •  Đồng giảm giá so với đồng đô la, Trung Quốc lo ngại
  • Đồng LONDON thứ Ba 28 tháng 9 giảm do đồng đô la mạnh hơn và lo ngại về tác động của việc cắt giảm điện và ngừng sản xuất nước tiêu thụ kim loại hàng đầu Trung Quốc, kim loại màu chịu áp lực lớn.
  • Đồng kỳ hạn 3 tháng trên Sàn giao dịch kim loại London đã giảm 1,1% ở mức 9.260 USD vào lúc 16h55 GMT, sau khi tăng 0,3% vào thứ Hai.
  • Đồng đã giảm từ mức đỉnh kỷ lục 10.747,50 USD chạm vào tháng 5, nhưng vẫn tăng 20% ​​cho đến nay trong năm nay.
  • Cuộc khủng hoảng tín dụng từ Evergrande và cú sốc đến từ cuộc khủng hoảng năng lượng của Trung Quốc  khiến cho các nhà đầu tư lo ngại.

GÓC NHÌN KỸ THUẬT

  • Đồng LME phiên hôm qua tiếp tục điều chỉnh giảm nhẹ. Giá đã về tới vùng chờ mua quanh 9200 và đang tăng nhẹ trở lại.
  • Các vị thế mua quanh vùng 9200 có thể nắm giữ với kỳ vọng giá quay lại vùng kháng cự 9700, chặn lỗ dưới vùng 9000.

THIẾC

TIN TỨC

  • Giá thiếc tại Thượng Hải giảm vào thứ Ba ngày 28/9, rút lui khỏi mức cao kỷ lục đạt được trong phiên trước đó, do hoạt động bán tháo vì nhà đầu tư lo ngại nhu cầu từ Trung Quốc – nước tiêu thụ kim loại hàng đầu thế giới, có thể giảm do cuộc khủng hoảng điện ở nước này.
  • Tình trạng thiếu điện ở Trung Quốc ngày càng nghiêm trọng, buộc nhiều nhà máy phải ngừng sản xuất, trong đó có nhiều nhà máy cung cấp linh kiện/phụ tùng cho Apple và Tesla. Nguồn cung cấp than ngày càng khan hiếm và những tiêu chuẩn về khí thải chặt chẽ đã dẫn đến tình trạng thiếu điện trên khắp Trung Quốc.
  • Trong số các kim loại cơ bản được giao dịch trên sàn London, giá thiếc phiên vừa qua giảm mạnh nhất mất 4,2% xuống 35.000 USD/tấn, từ mức cao kỷ lục đạt được hồi tuần trước, là 36.836 USD/tấn.
  • Giá thiếc giao tháng 11 được giao dịch trên Sàn hàng hóa Thượng Hải giảm 4,5% xuống 269.450 CNY (tương đương 41.670,47 USD)/tấn, giảm từ mức kỷ lục 290.510 CNY/tấn đã đạt được trong phiên giao dịch đầu tuần.
  • Chi nhánh tại Bắc Kinh của Hiệp hội Thiếc Quốc tế (ITA) cho biết, khi các công ty hàn và sản xuất hóa chất thiếc ở các vùng của Trung Quốc hoạt động với công suất giảm do hạn chế sử dụng điện, nhu cầu về thiếc tinh chế cũng giảm theo.
  • Tính đến ngày 28/9, giá thiếc đã tăng 91,5% trong năm nay được hỗ trợ bởi sự gián đoạn nguồn cung do đại dịch gây ra ở các nước sản xuất lớn và nhu cầu mua sắm mặt hàng điện tử bùng nổ.

GÓC NHÌN KỸ THUẬT

  • Thiếc LME phiên hôm qua đã bật tăng trở lại sau khi về quanh vùng 34800.
  • Vẫn như những nhận định trước, khả năng giá sẽ tiếp tục quay trở lại đà tăng sau khi test lại vùng giá bị phá vỡ trước đó quanh 34500.
  • Chiến lược vẫn ưu tiên chờ mua quanh 34500, chặn lỗ dưới vùng 32500.

Lưu ý:

– Mọi thông tin trên chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo, Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên xem xét kỹ lưỡng để đưa ra quyết định đầu tư cho riêng mình.

– Luôn ưu tiên quản trị vốn để tối thiểu hóa rủi ro và từ đó có thể kiếm lợi nhuận một cách bền vững từ thị trường.

– Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên tìm kiếm một đội tư vấn, phân tích, chăm sóc khách hàng chuyên nghiệp để từ đó có thể kiếm được lợi nhuận từ thị trường. Đừng ngừng ngại liên hệ cho chúng tôi – Công ty Cổ phần Giao dịch Hàng hóa Gia Cát Lợi qua thông tin bên dưới.

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