Phân Tích Cà Phê Ngày 16/06/2021: Cà Phê Thể Hiện Trái Chiều

Kết thúc phiên giao dịch hôm thứ Ba Cà phê Arabica tháng 7 ( KCN21 ) đóng cửa giảm -2,90 (-1,88%) và cà phê Robusta ICE tháng 7 ( RMN21 ) đóng cửa tăng +4 (+ 0,25%).

Thời tiết

Mưa trên mức bình thường ở Brazil đã làm giảm bớt lo ngại về hạn hán và tiếp tục thúc đẩy sự thanh khoản lâu dài đối với cà phê kỳ hạn

Báo cáo thời tiết cho thấy những ngày cuối tuần ở Minas Gerais, bang trồng cà phê Arabica lớn nhất Brazil, đã có lượng mưa cao hơn 160% so với mức trung bình lịch sử. Các giới đầu cơ nhanh chóng đẩy mạnh thanh lý lượng mua ròng đã “quá mức” trước đó khi có những thông tin bất lợi trong ngắn hạn, khiến giá cà phê Arabica tiếp tục giảm mạnh. Bên cạnh đó, giá Arabica còn bị ảnh hưởng bởi thông tin xuất khẩu cà phê của Brazil tiếp tục tăng mạnh.

Giá 2 Loại Cà Phê Arabica và Robusta

Hai sàn cà phê sau khi kết thúc phiên giao dịch , kết quả giá ngược chiều : Sàn London tăng nhẹ, nhưng NewYork giảm khá .

Giá cà phê Robusta tại London giao tháng 7/2021 được ghi nhận tại mức 1.573 USD/tấn sau khi tăng 0,25% (tương đương 4 USD). Sau những ngày giảm mạnh, cà phê Robusta cũng đã quay trở lại tăng nhẹ.

Giá cà phê Arabica vẫn tiếp tục giảm mạnh ,cụ thể giao tháng 7/2021 tại New York đạt mức 151,2 US cent/pound, giảm 1,88% (tương đương 2,90 US cent) tại thời điểm khảo sát vào lúc 7h (giờ Việt Nam).

Phân tích

Thị trường cà phê hiện đang chờ đợi tín hiệu các cuộc họp thường kỳ diễn ra giữa tuần này, của Copom – Brasil, Fed – Mỹ và ECB với những chính sách sẽ tác động kinh tế thế giới nói chung.

Hầu hết các sàn phái sinh hàng hóa đều giảm, kể cả dầu thô và vàng. Giá cổ phiếu giảm nhưng sức hút  dòng vốn về các sàn tiền công nghệ khá mạnh, cụ thể dòng tiền chuyển dịch vào Bitcoin của phiên hôm qua lên tới 40.000 USD.

Giá cà phê trong nước

Riêng giá cà phê trong nước hôm nay đồng loạt tăng 100 đồng/kg tại hầu hết các tỉnh ở Tây Nguyên. Hiện tại, giá thu mua cao nhất theo ghi nhận là 35.300 đồng/kg

Cụ thể, ba tỉnh Đắk Lắk, Gia Lai và Đắk Nông cùng tăng 100 đồng/kg, hiện ghi nhận khoảng giá từ 33.900 đồng/kg đến 34.300 đồng/kg.

Tại huyện Di Linh, Lâm Hà, Bảo Lộc (Lâm Đồng) giá cà phê hôm nay được thu mua với mức 33.000 đồng/kg.

Kết thúc phiên giao dịch gần nhất, cà phê Robusta quay lại tăng nhẹ sau nhiều ngày giảm mạnh, Arabica vẫn tiếp tục giảm mạnh.

Nguồn tổng hợp


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