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Sản lượng đậu tương năm 2021 của Trung Quốc giảm, trái ngược với lúa mì

– Trung Quốc đã nâng ước tính tổng sản lượng lúa mì của nước này cho năm 2021 lên 137.1 triệu tấn, mặc dù diện tích dự kiến sẽ thấp hơn trong năm nay, theo ước tính hàng tháng từ Trung tâm Thông tin Ngũ cốc và Dầu Quốc gia Trung Quốc (CNGOIC) công bố hôm thứ Sáu.

– Sản lượng dự kiến vào năm 2021 đã tăng 2.1% so với 134.2 triệu tấn được ghi nhận trong năm 2020 và cao hơn 670,000 tấn so với ước tính cuối cùng của CNGOIC vào tháng Bảy. Tuy nhiên, cơ quan này đã cắt giảm dự báo diện tích trồng lúa mì xuống còn 23.6 triệu ha, chỉ tăng 1% so với kỷ lục năm trước và thấp hơn một chút 49,000 ha so với ước tính cuối cùng.

– Đồng thời, CNGOIC vẫn duy trì dự báo về sản lượng và diện tích ngô năm 2021 của Trung Quốc không đổi ở mức 273.5 triệu tấn và 42.9 triệu ha.

– Ước tính sản lượng đậu tương cho năm 2021 cũng không thay đổi ở mức 18.4 triệu tấn, giảm 6.1% so với năm trước

Trung Quốc có kế hoạch duy trì đàn heo nái ở mức 43 triệu con trong giai đoạn 2021 – 2025

– Chính phủ Trung Quốc đang đặt mục tiêu duy trì đàn lợn nái giống ở mức khoảng 43 triệu con và tối thiểu là 40 triệu con trong giai đoạn 2021 – 2025, giai đoạn trong Kế hoạch 5 năm lần thứ 14 của đất nước.

– Kế hoạch này nằm trong một chuỗi nhiệm vụ toàn diện nhằm ổn định sản lượng và giá thịt lợn sau khi ngành chăn nuôi lợn của Trung Quốc phục hồi nhanh chóng và giá lợn hơi giảm mạnh kể từ đầu năm nay. “Những vấn đề gây khó khăn cho chăn nuôi lợn và ảnh hưởng đến sự phát triển của ngành chăn nuôi lợn vẫn chưa được giải quyết một cách căn bản. Giá lợn rơi vào xu hướng giảm và các trang trại đang lỗ”, Chính phủ cho biết trong một văn bản chính sách.

– Sản lượng thịt lợn của Trung Quốc trong nửa đầu năm 2021 tăng 36% so với cùng kỳ lên 27.15 triệu tấn, và đàn lợn tăng lên 439.11 triệu con vào cuối tháng 6, tăng 99% so với mức cuối năm 2017, theo dữ liệu hàng quý được công bố bởi Cục Thống kê Quốc gia (NBS) của đất nước vào tháng trước. Đồng thời, giá thịt lợn của Trung Quốc đã giảm mạnh kể từ đầu năm nay do nguồn cung quá mức trong bối cảnh ngành chăn nuôi lợn phục hồi nhanh chóng, khiến lợi nhuận chăn nuôi lợn giảm mạnh.

– Kế hoạch này cũng bao gồm các biện pháp cảnh báo người chăn nuôi lợn hành động khi đàn lợn nái hàng tháng tăng trên 5% so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái và đưa tất cả các trang trại có trên 500 con lợn vào theo dõi năng suất và sản lượng.

– Trung Quốc cũng sẽ đẩy nhanh việc ngăn chặn và kiểm soát dịch tả lợn châu Phi và các bệnh động vật nghiêm trọng khác ở các khu vực khác nhau, và tăng cường khả năng điều chỉnh thị trường bằng cách dự trữ thịt lợn, tài liệu công bố hôm thứ Sáu cho biết. Chính phủ cho biết thêm: “Chúng tôi sẽ duy trì tỷ lệ tự cung tự cấp của lợn ở mức khoảng 95% trong vòng 5 đến 10 năm.

Dầu đậu tương tăng vọt do nhu cầu về các vấn đề hậu cần và pha trộn diesel sinh học

– Mức dầu đậu nành FOB của Argentina và Brazil đã tăng lên mức cao nhất trong hơn hai tháng, trong bối cảnh nhu cầu xuất khẩu ổn định và sự pha trộn dầu diesel sinh học trong nước cũng như tắc nghẽn giao thông ở sông Paraná.

– Giá FOB Paranagua của Brazil, đạt mức âm 370 điểm so với CBOT vào ngày 5 tháng 8, cũng chạm mức cao nhất kể từ khi trừ 300 điểm vào ngày 11 tháng 5. Con số này so với mức thấp kỷ lục âm 1.400 điểm vào ngày 9-10 tháng 6.

– Nhiều yếu tố đã góp phần vào sự vững chắc của thị trường Argentina và Brazil, ngay cả với CBOT kỳ hạn vẫn ở mức cao trên 60 cent/lb.

– Tại Argentina, nhu cầu xuất khẩu đối với dầu đậu nành và dầu diesel sinh học tăng trở lại, mặc dù với tốc độ chậm, được coi là hỗ trợ. Điều này xảy ra trong khi các thương nhân sắp xếp lại các cam kết sắp tới của họ trong bối cảnh sông Paraná, một huyết mạch quan trọng cho dòng chảy thương mại nông nghiệp của đất nước, cạn kiệt.

Nông dân Argentina dự định chuyển từ chăn nuôi sang nông nghiệp do lệnh cấm thịt bò

– Nông dân sản xuất chăn nuôi Argentina cho biết họ sẵn sàng chuyển từ chăn nuôi sang trồng trọt do hậu quả của lệnh cấm xuất khẩu thịt bò do chính phủ thực hiện vào đầu năm nay, theo một cuộc khảo sát do Hiệp hội thí nghiệm nông nghiệp khu vực (CREA) thực hiện vào tháng trước.

– Dữ liệu bao gồm tổng số 1,119 nông dân được khảo sát và kết quả cho thấy khoảng 18% các nhà sản xuất chăn nuôi đang muốn chuyển sang trồng trọt và rời bỏ ngành chăn nuôi hoàn toàn. Đây là mức tăng 10% so với cuộc khảo sát trước đó do CREA thực hiện vào tháng 3 năm nay.

– Cuộc khảo sát cũng cho thấy khoảng 42% các nhà sản xuất được khảo sát tin rằng điều kiện của họ sẽ xấu đi trong vòng một năm, tăng 8% so với cuộc khảo sát được thực hiện vào tháng Ba.

– Ý định rời bỏ ngành chăn nuôi xuất hiện do lệnh cấm xuất khẩu thịt bò được áp đặt vào tháng 5 của chính phủ Argentina – vốn cho biết đây chỉ là tạm thời nhằm kiềm chế lạm phát lương thực. Vào tháng 6, chính phủ Argentina đã cho phép nối lại xuất khẩu thịt bò nhưng kèm theo nhiều điều kiện. Những hạn chế từng phần này có thể sẽ được duy trì cho đến cuối tháng 8, khi chính phủ dự kiến sẽ sửa đổi thêm biện pháp.

GÓC NHÌN KỸ THUẬT

Đậu tương

  • Đúng như dự đoán, đậu tương đã bật tăng về vùng 1344 – 1350 sau khi chạm vùng hỗ trợ ngắn hạn 1320 – 1329.
  • Link tham khảo bài phân tích trước: https://dautuhanghoa.vn/phan-tich-dau-tuong-kho-dau-tuong-va-dau-dau-tuong-ngay-05-08-2021-dau-dau-xac-nhan-cho-xu-huong-giam/#dau-tuong
  • Hiện tại thì dầu đậu hoàn toàn có thể phá vỡ vùng kháng cự ngắn hạn 1344 – 1350 và hồi phục tăng lên đến vùng kháng cự tiềm năng 1356 – 1362 hợp lưu với đường trendline giảm và có thể giá sẽ có sự phán ứng khi chạm vùng kháng cự này.
  • Và nếu như giá  đậu tương có thể phá vỡ được vùng kháng cự tiềm năng trên thì đậu tương hoàn còn có thể quay trở về vùng kháng cự cứng 1380 – 1392 trong thời gian tới.
  • Tuy nhiên, vẫn không loại trừ khả năng rằng vùng kháng cự ngắn hạn 1344 – 1350 chưa thể bị phá vỡ thì trước mắt, đậu tương có thể giảm về vùng hỗ trợ ngắn hạn 1320 – 1331 để lấy đà cho việc hồi phục được tiếp tục diễn ra.

Khô đậu tương

  • Đã nằm trong dự đoán, sau khi phá vỡ được vùng kháng cự kháng cự tiềm năng 352.50 – 354 hợp lưu với đường trendline giảm, thì giá khô đậu đã hồi phục tăng lên đến vùng kháng cự cứng 357 – 360.50.
  • Link tham khảo bài phân tích trước: https://dautuhanghoa.vn/phan-tich-dau-tuong-kho-dau-tuong-va-dau-dau-tuong-ngay-05-08-2021-dau-dau-xac-nhan-cho-xu-huong-giam/#kho-dau-tuong
  • Ở hiện tại, nếu xét về góc nhìn rộng hơn thì giá khô đậu đang tích lũy trong biên độ rộng vùng 346.50 – 360.50.
  • Khô đậu tương có thể sẽ tiếp cận sâu hơn vào vùng kháng cự cứng 357 – 360.50 và nếu phá vỡ được vùng kháng cự này thì đó là tín hiệu tích cực cho xu hướng tăng đang được hình thành.
  • Nhưng nếu áp lực bán trong ngắn hạn vẫn còn mạnh, có thể khiến giá khô đậu điều chỉnh giảm nhẹ về vùng 350 – 352.70 để lấy đà trước khi tiếp tục hồi phục tăng.
  • Nhà đầu tư hãy cẩn trọng quan sát phản ứng của khô đậu tại vùng 350 – 352.70 nếu giá cỏ thể điều chỉnh về, vì nếu khô đậu tương có thể tiếp tục bật tăng tốt khi chạm vùng hỗ trợ này thì xu hướng hồi phục tăng vẫn còn được tiếp tục. Còn một khi vùng hỗ trợ này bị phá thủng thì khô đậu hoàn toàn có thể quay trỡ lại vùng hỗ trợ cứng 346.50 – 348.60 và tiếp tục tích lũy trong biên độ rộng vùng 346.50 – 360.50.

Dầu đậu tương

  • Dầu đậu đã hồi phục nhẹ và phản ứng mạnh khi tiệm cận vùng kháng cự ngắn hạn 62.85 – 63.30.
  • Link tham khảo bài phân tích trước: https://dautuhanghoa.vn/phan-tich-dau-tuong-kho-dau-tuong-va-dau-dau-tuong-ngay-05-08-2021-dau-dau-xac-nhan-cho-xu-huong-giam/#dau-dau-tuong
  • Hiện tại thì dầu đậu tương đang tích lũy khá chặt trong biên độ vùng 61 – 62.70. Nếu muốn an toàn hơn thì nhà đầu tư nên chờ cho giá phá vỡ ra khỏi vùng tích lũy này để quyết định vị thế vào lệnh thì sẽ an toàn hơn.
  • Nếu phá thủng được vùng kháng cự 62.30 – 62.65 thì dầu đậu tương có thể tiếp tục hồi phục tăng lên đến vùng 63.60 – 64.50. Tuy nhiên, ngay sau khi phá vỡ được vùng kháng cự 62.30 – 62.50 thì dầu đậu có thể sẽ phản ứng khi chạm vùng kháng cự tiềm năng 62.80 – 63.30 => Nhà đầu tư hãy lưu ý vùng kháng cự này vì nó cũng có thể là một vùng có khả năng cản trở được sự hồi phục tăng của dầu đậu trong ngắn hạn.
  • Còn nếu như dầu đậu tiếp tục giảm mạnh, phá thủng vùng hỗ trợ ngắn hạn 61 – 61.50 thì xu hướng giảm sẽ được tiếp tục và giá có thể giảm về vùng hỗ trợ rộng 58.70 – 60.40 của khung thời gian lớn.

Lưu ý:

– Mọi thông tin trên chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo, Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên xem xét kỹ lưỡng để đưa ra quyết định đầu tư cho riêng mình.

– Luôn ưu tiên quản trị vốn để tối thiểu hóa rủi ro và từ đó có thể kiếm lợi nhuận một cách bền vững từ thị trường.

– Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên tìm kiếm một đội tư vấn, phân tích, chăm sóc khách hàng chuyên nghiệp để từ đó có thể kiếm được lợi nhuận từ thị trường. Đừng ngừng ngại liên hệ cho chúng tôi – Công ty Cổ phần Giao dịch Hàng hóa Gia Cát Lợi qua thông tin bên dưới.


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267 thoughts on “Phân Tích Đậu Tương, Khô Đậu Tương Và Dầu Đậu Tương Ngày 09/08/2021: Giá Dầu Đậu Tích Lũy Với Biện Độ Hẹp

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    Mushroom complicated

    Quercetin dihydrate

    Pomegranate

    Olive leaf

    Arabinogalactan

    Cat’s claw

    Garlic

    Panax ginseng

    Lycopene

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    image2

    Graviola leaf

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    Individuals Also Read: HairMax LaserComb and LaserBand Brand New Hair Developing Reviews– Does It Work?

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    Pomegranate

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    Lycopene

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    3 bottles for $177.

    6 containers for $294.

    No matter if the customer discovers that this solution is not for them, they have as long as 60 days to enjoy a refund.

    image1.

    Summary.

    Restolin supplies individuals having the power to restore 100% to their hair natural active ingredients.
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    Further Reviewing: Restolin Potion.

    Associate Disclosure:. The internet links present in this technique testimonial may end up
    in a tiny commission in the event you personally that you choose to select the
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    research editorial and study group in addition to please understand we
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    Please be aware:.

    Please observe that any kind of guidelines or criteria revealed here are
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    Specific outcomes might differ since the declarations made
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