TIN TỨC
NOFI của Hàn Quốc mua 138 nghìn tấn ngô từ Cargill khi đến vào tháng 11
- Nhà sản xuất thức ăn chăn nuôi của Hàn Quốc Nonghyup Feed Inc (NOFI) đã đóng một cuộc đấu thầu được công bố vào đầu ngày hôm nay và đặt 138.000 tấn ngô có nguồn gốc từ Nam Mỹ hoặc Nam Phi, các nguồn tin thương mại cho biết với Agricensus hôm thứ Ba.
- NOFI đã đặt 69.000 tấn ngô từ Cargill với mức phí bảo hiểm 249 xu so với hợp đồng ngô CBOT tháng 12, tương đương với 322 đô la / tấn CFR dựa trên việc thanh toán hợp đồng tương lai qua đêm, cộng với chi phí dỡ hàng tại cảng thứ hai là 1,25 đô la / tấn.
- Lô thứ hai cũng được mua từ Cargill với mức phí bảo hiểm 247 cent, tương đương với $ 321,41 / tấn CFR, cộng với $ 1,25 / tấn cho cảng dỡ hàng thứ hai.
- Hàng hóa được vận chuyển trong khoảng thời gian từ ngày 4-23 tháng 9 đến ngày 13 tháng 9 đến ngày 2 tháng 10 từ Nam Mỹ hoặc Nam Phi theo lựa chọn của người bán và đến trước ngày 1 và 10 tháng 11.
- Trong trường hợp ngô có nguồn gốc từ Nam Phi, quy mô hàng hóa dự kiến sẽ là 52.000 tấn.
- NOFI được cho là đã chuyển qua lô đất thứ ba.
- Kể từ đầu năm 2021, NOFI đã đóng chín đợt đấu thầu ngô và thu về 1,16 triệu tấn ngô, bao gồm cả giao dịch mua ngày hôm nay, với mức giá trung bình là 312 USD / tấn CFR.
- Ngoài ra, NOFI đã đặt 195.000 tấn lúa mì trong cả năm.
Xuất khẩu ngô của Brazil tăng tốc trong tuần thứ hai của tháng 8
- Khi vụ thu hoạch safrinha ngô thứ hai được tiến hành, xuất khẩu ngô của Brazil cũng đang tăng tốc khi nước này xuất khẩu 1,4 triệu tấn trong tuần thứ hai của tháng 8, gấp đôi khối lượng được nạp trong tuần trước.
- Điều này đã đưa tổng khối lượng xuất khẩu trong tháng 8 lên 2,1 triệu tấn với tốc độ xếp hàng trung bình là 213.318 tấn mỗi ngày làm việc, vẫn thấp hơn 28% so với cùng kỳ nhưng cao hơn 49% trong tuần.
- Trong khi đó, nước này đã nhập khẩu gần 55.000 tấn ngô trong hai tuần đầu tháng 8 với mức nhập khẩu trung bình mỗi ngày làm việc cao hơn 65% so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái.
- Những người tham gia thị trường và các nhà phân tích tin rằng khối lượng nhập khẩu đáng kể sẽ được yêu cầu trong thời gian còn lại của năm để bù đắp cho vụ mất mùa nghiêm trọng do hạn hán và sương giá gây ra.
Kiểm tra xuất khẩu ngô của Hoa Kỳ ở mức 755 nghìn tấn, tổng hiện nay là 64,4 triệu tấn
- Dữ liệu của USDA cho thấy hôm 12/8, các cuộc thanh tra xuất khẩu đối với ngô của Mỹ chỉ tăng 1% so với tuần trước trong tuần tính đến ngày 12/8 và đạt 754,929 tấn.
- Con số này đến ngay dưới cùng của phạm vi mà các nhà phân tích mong đợi, đặt ở mức từ 700.000-1.000.000 tấn.
- Thị phần lớn nhất của nó được chuyển đến Trung Quốc (274.898 tấn), tiếp theo là Nhật Bản (194.508 tấn), Mexico (180.638 tấn) và El Salvador (74.704 tấn).
- Trong số các điểm đến khác là Honduras (25.802 tấn), Đài Loan (4.037 tấn) và Hàn Quốc (342 tấn).
- Các cảng vùng Vịnh đã kiểm tra 625.145 tấn và 70.199 tấn nội thất, trong khi PNW của Mỹ chỉ xử lý 59.585 tấn.
- Khối lượng hàng tuần đã đẩy tổng số cuộc kiểm tra kể từ đầu năm tiếp thị 2020/21 lên 64,4 triệu tấn, tăng 59% so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái.
Thu hoạch ngô của Brazil tăng nhanh bất chấp sự chậm trễ và các vấn đề chất lượng
- Dữ liệu từ công ty tư vấn địa phương Agrural cho biết hôm 12/8 đã hoàn thành 70% vụ thu hoạch ngô mùa vụ thứ hai ở miền Trung Nam Bộ của Brazil mặc dù sự chậm trễ và các vấn đề chất lượng ở Paraná khi các công trình thu gom hơi nước ở hầu hết các bang sản xuất, dữ liệu từ công ty tư vấn địa phương Agrural cho thấy hôm thứ Hai.
- “Tuy nhiên, sự chậm trễ trong thu hoạch vẫn tồn tại ở bang Paraná, nơi độ ẩm của ngũ cốc vẫn cao”, Agrural nói.
- Tư vấn nói thêm rằng các vấn đề chất lượng đang gia tăng khi các công trình tiến hành ở phía tây và tây nam của Paraná và cũng đã được báo cáo, mặc dù ở mức độ thấp hơn, ở Mato Grosso do Sul.
- Agrural cho biết: “Các vấn đề về chất lượng do sương giá gây ra ngày càng gia tăng khi có tới 40% ngũ cốc được lấy ra từ các trang trại ở một số vùng nhất định bị hư hỏng.”
- Công ty tư vấn đã không cập nhật ước tính vụ mùa safrinha của mình sau khi hạ dự báo vùng trung nam của Brazil xuống 51,6 triệu tấn vào cuối tháng 7, thấp hơn 26 triệu tấn so với ước tính ban đầu.
Thu hoạch ngô Mato Grosso của Brazil hoàn thành 98,88% theo IMEA
- Vụ thu hoạch ngô safrinha thứ hai ở bang Mato Grosso của Brazil đã kết thúc sau khi hoàn thành 98,88% vào cuối tuần trước, tăng 5,41 điểm phần trăm so với tuần trước, dữ liệu từ viện nông nghiệp của bang IMEA cho thấy cuối ngày thứ sáu.
- Khoảng cách giữa tiến độ 2020/21 và 2019/20 chỉ là 1 điểm phần trăm, theo dữ liệu, so với mức trung bình 5 năm là 98,40%.
- Thu hoạch đã hoàn thành ở các khu vực phía Bắc và đạt 95,47% ở phía Đông Nam, với các khu vực còn lại hoàn thành hơn 98%.
- Vào ngày 2 tháng 8, IMEA đã cập nhật ước tính vụ mùa lên 31,2 triệu tấn, thấp hơn gần 10% so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái.
- Mức giảm này phản ánh năng suất giảm 0,28% so với tháng 7, xuống còn 93,54 bao / ha, giảm 14,2% so với năm ngoái.
GÓC NHÌN KỸ THUẬT
Đồ thị D1
- Ngô đã phá qua vùng tích luỹ từ vùng $540 – $560 và hiện tại giá đang có xu hướng kiểm tra lại vùng kháng cự cứng 560$. Về sóng của ngô về cơ bản vẫn đang thể hiện cho xu hướng tăng sau khi tích luỹ và dâng đáy.
- Kì vọng giá ngô sẽ sớm lên test lại vùng kháng cự $592, đây là vùng bản lề cũng như key level của thị trường hiện tại và nếu ngô muốn giảm trong dài hạn thì vùng này gần như thị trường phải test lại. Đến đây sẽ có hợp lưu 2 kháng cự là kháng cự cứng khung ngày và trendline giảm đang hình thành từ tháng 5/21 nên dự đoán sẽ điều chỉnh mạnh khi giá tiệm cận vùng này.
- Hỗ trợ hiện tại: $530, $560.
- Kháng cự hiện tại: $592.
Lưu ý:
– Mọi thông tin trên chỉ mang tính chất tham khảo, Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên xem xét kỹ lưỡng để đưa ra quyết định đầu tư cho riêng mình.
– Luôn ưu tiên quản trị vốn để tối thiểu hóa rủi ro và từ đó có thể kiếm lợi nhuận một cách bền vững từ thị trường.
– Quý Nhà Đầu tư nên tìm kiếm một đội tư vấn, phân tích, chăm sóc khách hàng chuyên nghiệp để từ đó có thể kiếm được lợi nhuận từ thị trường. Đừng ngừng ngại liên hệ cho chúng tôi
– Công ty Cổ phần Giao dịch Hàng hóa Gia Cát Lợi qua thông tin bên dưới.
CÔNG TY CỔ PHẦN GIAO DỊCH HÀNG HÓA GIA CÁT LỢI – Thành viên TOP đầu thuộc Sở Giao dịch Hàng hóa Việt Nam
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