Thị Trường năng lượng Thế Giới 10/1

Giá dầu tiếp tục giảm, khí tự nhiên tăng

Bảng giá năng lượng thế giới sáng 9/1/2020
Mặt hàng Đơn vị tính Giá hiện nay +/- Thay đổi so với 1 ngày trước Thay đổi so với 1 năm trước
Dầu WTI USD/thùng 63,3622 1,3927 -2,15 % 21,05%
Dầu Brent USD/thùng 69,3077 1,5981 -2,26 % 12,75%
Khí tự nhiên USD/mmBtu 2,1443 0,0034 0,16 % -28,14%
Xăng USD/gallon 1,7541 0,0351 -1,97 % 22,77%
Dầu đốt USD/gallon 2,0476 0,0405 -1,94 % 8,74%

Giá dầu tăng trong ngày hôm nay

Phục hồi một phần sau khi giảm mạnh trong phiên trước do thị trường tái cân bằng sau khi Washington và Tehran tìm cách xoa dịu khả năng cuộc khủng hoảng ở Trung Đông.

Giá đã tăng để phản ứng lại việc sát hại tướng Iran trong một cuộc không kích của Mỹ cuối tuần trước và cuộc tấn công trả đũa của Iran với lực lượng quân đội Mỹ ở Iraq, trước khi giảm hơn 4% khi 2 quốc gia này nhanh chóng làm dịu căng thẳng.

Dầu thô Brent kỳ hạn tăng 55 US cent hay 0,8% lên 65,99 USD/thùng sau khi giảm 4,1% trong phiên liền trước. Dầu thô WTI tăng 61 US cent hay 1% lên 60,22 USD sau khi giảm gần 5% trong phiên trước.

Tổng thống Trump xác nhận các binh sĩ Mỹ đều an toàn, hai căn cứ tại Iraq không chịu nhiều thiệt hại sau đòn tập kích của Iran. Giá dầu cũng bị áp lực giảm trong ngày hôm qua sau khi dự trữ dầu thô của Mỹ tăng vọt.

Ngân hàng J.P. Morgan duy trì dự báo giá dầu thô Brent đạt trung bình 64,5 USD/thùng trong năm nay.
Ngân hàng này cho biết ảnh hưởng tới giá dầu sẽ phụ thuộc vào việc gián đoạn nguồn cung so với công suất dự phòng sẵn có, tồn trữ dầu thô toàn cầu và phản ứng với giá dầu từ các nhà sản xuất Mỹ.

Khí tự nhiên của Mỹ giảm

  • Khí tự nhiên của Mỹ giảm trong đêm qua xuống gần mức thấp nhất 4 tháng do dự đoán dự trữ giảm trong tuần trước sẽ ít hơn nhiều so với bình thường và tình trạng thời tiết không rõ ràng sẽ trở lại lạnh hơn trong cuối tháng 1/2020.
  • Các nhà khí tượng dự báo thời tiết tại 48 tiểu bang sẽ trở lại ấm hơn bình thường hiện nay thành lạnh hơn bình thường từ 16 – 18/1 trước khi trở lại bình thường cho tới ngày 23/1.
  • Khí tự nhiên kỳ hạn tháng 2/2019 trên sàn giao dịch New York giảm 2,1 US cent hay 1% xuống 2,141 USD/mmBtu.Các thương nhân lưu ý giá khí đã giảm khoảng 26% kể từ khi đạt mức cao nhất trong 8 tháng tại 2,905 USD/mmBtu trong đầu tháng 11/2019 do thời tiết ấm hơn bình thường và dự đoán dự trữ sẽ tăng cao hơn trung bình 5 năm.

Các nhà phân tích cho biết tồn kho có thể giảm chỉ 53 tỷ feet khối (bcf) khí trong tuần kết thúc vào ngày 3/1/2019, so với sụt giảm 91 bcf trong cùng tuần năm ngoái. Nếu đúng, dự trữ khí đốt trong tuần kết thúc vào 3/1/2020 sẽ giảm xuống 3.139 nghìn tỷ feet khối (tcf), cao hơn 2,5% so với 3,061 tcf, trung bình ở thời điểm này trong 5 năm.
Với thời tiết ấm hơn, Refinitiv dự đoán nhu cầu tại 48 tiểu ban gồm cả xuất khẩu sẽ giảm từ mức trung bình 117 bcfd trong tuần này xuống 116,6 bcfd trong tuần tới.

Trang https://dautuhanghoa.vn/ chuyên tư vấn – phân tích – đầu tư hàng hóa phái sinh!

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